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AFL · ACCIDENT & HEALTH INSURANCE · 8-K · Item 2.02 · Aug 6, 2026

Underlying earnings edged below consensus; reported EPS benefited from investment gains

AFLAC INC (AFL) — AllSight decodes this SEC 8-K in plain English, versus what the market expected.

The market expected roughly $1.76–$1.77 of adjusted EPS, and Aflac delivered $1.75. That is a small shortfall versus published consensus, while adjusted EPS excluding foreign-exchange effects reached $1.80. The underlying result was therefore better than the headline adjusted number suggests, but still only modestly above last year rather than a clear acceleration.

Metric2Q262Q25Change / context
Net EPS, diluted$1.63$1.11+46.8% (EPS reconciliation)
Adjusted EPS, diluted$1.75$1.78-1.7% (EPS reconciliation)
Adjusted EPS excluding current-period FX$1.80$1.78+1.1% (EPS reconciliation)
Adjusted earnings$883 million$957 million-7.7% (Net earnings reconciliation)
Adjusted earnings excluding current-period FX$910 million$957 million-4.9% (Net earnings reconciliation)
Adjusted ROE excluding FX remeasurement16.6%16.6%Flat (ROE reconciliation)

The large net-EPS increase is not the operating story. Net EPS rose 46.8%, but that mainly reflects the much smaller drag from adjusted net investment gains and losses: the adjustment fell to $106 million from $377 million last year. On the company’s preferred operating measure, adjusted earnings declined 7.7%, and even after removing current-period FX effects they fell 4.9%. (Net earnings reconciliation) That makes the headline beat-looking comparison less meaningful than the slight adjusted-EPS miss.

Segment execution was broadly within the standing 2026 framework, not a new upside signal. Aflac Japan’s benefit ratio was 64.0%, above its 60%–63% outlook range, but its expense ratio of 20.2% and pretax profit margin of 34.3% were inside their respective ranges. Aflac U.S. was within range across all three measures: a 49.5% benefit ratio, 36.1% expense ratio, and 20.9% pretax profit margin. (Aflac Japan; Aflac U.S. outlook tables) The filing does not show a fresh change to the broader 2026 outlook, so the quarter does not materially reset expectations.

Capital strength and shareholder returns remain supportive but largely expected. Adjusted leverage improved to 21.8% from 22.5% a year earlier and remained inside the company’s 20%–25% target range, while estimated Japan ESR was 226% and U.S. combined RBC exceeded 600%. (Adjusted Leverage Ratios; Strong Capital Ratios) Aflac also returned $1.292 billion through dividends and repurchases, including $983 million of buybacks. (Capital Deployment) Those are solid capital metrics, but they do not offset the core message: operating earnings were slightly below consensus and weaker year over year, with reported EPS inflated by investment-related effects.

Read the original 8-K on SEC EDGAR ↗
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