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YSS · GUIDED MISSILES & SPACE VEHICLES & PARTS · 8-K · Item 2.02 · Aug 13, 2026

The backlog story survived; the 2026 revenue reset did not

Guidance cutnew
FY2026 revenue guide cut to $375M–$405M from $545M–$595M
York Space Systems Inc. (YSS) — AllSight decodes this SEC 8-K in plain English, versus what the market expected.

The headline miss is the outlook, not the quarter. York reduced FY2026 revenue guidance to $375M–$405M from the previously reaffirmed $545M–$595M range, a roughly 32% reset. The prior range was still in place as of May 14, 2026.

MetricQ2 2026Q2 2025Six months 2026Six months 2025
Revenue$92.5M$83.8M$208.9M$190.1M
GAAP gross profit$22.2M$9.5M$44.3M$34.1M
GAAP gross margin24%11%21%18%
Adjusted EBITDA$(9.5)M$(8.9)M$(13.1)M$(3.5)M
Net loss$(39.3)M$(24.2)M$(154.2)M$(36.0)M

Revenue was modestly better year over year but not enough to preserve the plan. Q2 revenue rose 10% to $92.5M, while the company says delayed larger government programs and the shift from rapid RFP awards to slower IDIQ contracting removed expected 2026 new-business revenue. That makes the cut a timing and execution reset, not merely a conservative wording change. (Financial Highlights; Outlook)

Margins improved sharply, but underlying profitability remains weak. GAAP gross margin rose to 24% from 11%, helped by the roll-off of a negative prior-year estimated-at-completion adjustment. Contribution margin also improved to 42% from 24%. But adjusted EBITDA remained negative at $(9.5)M, and six-month adjusted EBITDA deteriorated to $(13.1)M from $(3.5)M. (Financial Highlights; Reconciliation of GAAP to Non-GAAP Measures)

The cash cushion is mostly IPO-funded, not operational. York ended June with $534.0M of cash, but operating activities used $186.6M in the first half, versus $99.8M a year earlier. The balance was supported by $592.8M of net IPO proceeds, while acquisitions and integration also consumed cash. (Balance Sheet; Cash Flow statement)

Backlog and contract wins soften the longer-term picture, but do not offset the near-term reset. The company cites $592M of backlog, $1.85B of potential revenue on awarded contracts, and an $11.5B pipeline, alongside eight first-half wins and an 88% win rate. Those figures support a 2027 recovery narrative, but much of the value remains dependent on future task orders and government procurement acceleration rather than current-year revenue. (Management commentary; Outlook)

Net read: the filing is a guidance miss despite better gross margins. The market received evidence of improving contract economics, but the much larger change is that roughly one-third of the prior 2026 revenue opportunity has been pushed out, primarily into 2027 and beyond.

Read the original 8-K on SEC EDGAR ↗
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