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BCO · ARRANGEMENT OF TRANSPORTATION OF FREIGHT & CARGO · 8-K · Item 2.02 · Aug 5, 2026

EPS beat, but Q3 midpoint trails consensus and full-year outlook stays put.

BRINKS CO (BCO) — AllSight decodes this SEC 8-K in plain English, versus what the market expected.

The quarter beat on earnings, while revenue was essentially in line to slightly soft. Non-GAAP EPS of $2.13 exceeded the published consensus of about $2.05, but revenue of $1.392 billion came in just below the roughly $1.40 billion expectation. The more important quality marker was margin: adjusted EBITDA rose 11% to $257 million and margin expanded 70 basis points to 18.5%, showing profit grew faster than sales. (Second-Quarter 2026 Results)

MetricQ2 2026Q2 2025Expectation / prior guidance
Revenue$1.392B (+7%; +4% organic)$1.301BPublished consensus: ~$1.40B; prior guidance: $1.370B-$1.430B (Second-Quarter 2026 Results; Q2 2026 Guidance)
Adjusted EBITDA$257M (+11%)$232MPrior guidance: $245M-$265M (Second-Quarter 2026 Results; Q2 2026 Guidance)
Adjusted EBITDA margin18.5% (+70 bps)17.8%— (Second-Quarter 2026 Results)
Non-GAAP EPS$2.13 (+18%)$1.81Published consensus: ~$2.05; prior guidance: $1.85-$2.25 (Second-Quarter 2026 Results; Q2 2026 Guidance)
TTM free cash flow before dividends$468M (+7%)$436M46% conversion versus 48% a year earlier (Second-Quarter 2026 Results)
Q3 EPS guidance$2.23-$2.63Midpoint $2.43 versus published consensus of ~$2.54 (Third Quarter 2026 Guidance)

The forward setup is the offset to the EPS beat. Q3 EPS guidance of $2.23-$2.63 brackets consensus, but its $2.43 midpoint is below the published ~$2.54 estimate. Revenue guidance of $1.365 billion-$1.415 billion and EBITDA guidance of $263 million-$283 million imply sequential improvement, yet Brink's did not raise its full-year framework despite the strong margin quarter. That makes this a solid execution report rather than a clear upgrade to the standing earnings picture. (Full Year 2026 Framework and Third Quarter 2026 Guidance)

Growth remains concentrated in the higher-growth services businesses, supporting the margin story. AMS/DRS organic revenue grew 14%, versus 4% total organic growth, while North America adjusted EBITDA margin reached 20.7%. But underlying organic growth in North America, Latin America, and Europe was only 2% each; the stronger aggregate result depended heavily on Rest of World and the services mix. (AMS/DRS Continues Strong Performance; Revenue & Adjusted EBITDA by Segment)

Cash generation is improving, but leverage has not yet declined ahead of the acquisition. Trailing free cash flow increased $32 million year over year to $468 million, although conversion eased to 46% from 48%. Net debt rose to $2.730 billion from $2.595 billion at year-end, leaving leverage unchanged at 2.7x. The NCR Atleos deal remains targeted for early Q1 2027, with regulatory processes described as on track; that is a confirmation of the existing timetable, not a new acceleration in closing. (Second Quarter Performance Highlights; Net Debt and Net Leverage; NCR Atleos Acquisition Update)

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